TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x102b…a7ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4619.6%9 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$165.78
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.94
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.22
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,074.34
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.94
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.31
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+207.4%+$386.95
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+235.2%+$281.62
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.71
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.77
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3823.7%9 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.86
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.11
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.61
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+496.7%+$1,406.05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+501.4%+$1,052.72
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.71
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$822.33
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+238.3%+$492.69
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.93
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+1,382.5%+$2,427.31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.72
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.54
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.11
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.15
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.99
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,011.51
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.61
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$2,284.72
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+330.2%+$229.09
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.98
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.57
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+310.6%+$543.44
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$826.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.68
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.17
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.03
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$329.05
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+164%+$395.27
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+214.4%+$102.8
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.72
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$338.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+84.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.93
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+27%+$160.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.