Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8a41e56b3c59fbcf9da072a89e4b63819b399208d019514e5da166a7441295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Team Lynx, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Lynx | 1c | 14,902$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 9,007$4,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.6 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 55c | 4,979$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.67 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 40c | 4,525$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.21 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed 1win | 77c | 3,312$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.53 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 3,176$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.6 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win | 52c | 2,797$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.38 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 1win | 53c | 2,469$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.18 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 47c | 2,405$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.71 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 66c | 1,772$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.72 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 45c | 1,724$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.33 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Lynx | 36c | 1,265$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.98 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx | 34c | 1,212$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.37 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 47c | 967.68$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.82 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked 1win | 53c | 854.1$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.31 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked 1win | 61c | 818.53$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed 1win | 66c | 783.8$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.42 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 739.82$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked 1win | 64c | 731.27$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.96 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked 1win | 55c | 709.2$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.47 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Lynx | 73c | 687.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Lynx | 51c | 655.77$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.38 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked 1win | 43c | 581.8$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Team Lynx | 25c | 556$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Team Lynx | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 56c | 449.34$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed 1win | 62c | 430.28$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 55c | 414.61$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed 1win | 46c | 397.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 1win | 50c | 394.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 1win | 43c | 385.47$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.87 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed 1win | 41c | 362.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed 1win | 57c | 360.05$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked 1win | 62c | 315.52$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Team Lynx | 13c | 294.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed 1win | 57c | 283.47$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked 1win | 59c | 274.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Lynx | 24c | 269.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked 1win | 65c | 265.57$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Team Lynx | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed 1win | 59c | 243.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 1win | 60c | 238.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Team Lynx | 42c | 238.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed 1win | 50c | 231.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Lynx | 34c | 227.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked 1win | 59c | 227.1$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Team Lynx | 43c | 225.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…7a41backed Team Lynx | 70c | 223.3$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win | 63c | 221.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed 1win | 70c | 210.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Team Lynx | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed 1win | 71c | 196.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -18.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Lynx | 22c | 195$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed 1win | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 1win | 52c | 190.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…9476backed Team Lynx | 53c | 184.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Lynx | 16c | 182$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 172.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 55c | 169.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 37c | 167.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Lynx | 34c | 166.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Team Lynx | 46c | 137.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…c16fbacked 1win | 49c | 135.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Lynx | 33c | 133.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 119.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed 1win | 63c | 114.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Team Lynx | 38c | 112$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Team Lynx | 36c | 110.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…d0fdbacked Team Lynx | 76c | 109.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed 1win | 70c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx | 40c | 106.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Team Lynx | 36c | 103.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Team Lynx | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Team Lynx | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Team Lynx | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed 1win | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed 1win | 48c | 97.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…d8d8backed Team Lynx | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 1win | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 1win | 59c | 95.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked 1win | 77c | 91.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed 1win | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 594 | 56.7%337 W · 257 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…0ea1backed 1win | 33c | 88.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed 1win | 43c | 87.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 1win | 59c | 85.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Lynx | 66c | 84.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Team Lynx | 31c | 83.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Team Lynx | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 78.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 1win | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Team Lynx | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Team Lynx | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Team Lynx | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 46c | 66.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 32c | 66.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Lynx | 56c | 66.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…3a86backed Team Lynx | 61c | 64.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked 1win | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.