TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1winof Team Lynx, 1win
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Lynx1c14,902$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0269235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Lynx54c9,007$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,827.634544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 1win55c4,979$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.6747046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win40c4,525$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.211,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed 1win77c3,312$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.5352243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx54c3,176$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.61,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed 1win52c2,797$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.3851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed 1win53c2,469$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.1823342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx47c2,405$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.711,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win66c1,772$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.7267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win45c1,724$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.331,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Lynx36c1,265$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.9871142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx34c1,212$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3755147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win47c967.68$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.8296645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked 1win53c854.1$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.315940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked 1win61c818.53$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed 1win66c783.8$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4228549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Team Lynx38c739.82$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.1312630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked 1win64c731.27$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9610541%43 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked 1win55c709.2$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.476141%25 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Lynx73c687.17$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7945061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Team Lynx51c655.77$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3810735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked 1win43c581.8$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.051040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Team Lynx25c556$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1392751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked Team Lynx65c499.99$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.993652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win56c449.34$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.471,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed 1win62c430.28$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.514746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win55c414.61$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.32,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed 1win46c397.4$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6830647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed 1win50c394.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.461548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed 1win43c385.47$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8733951.3%174 W · 165 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed 1win41c362.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.649952.9%264 W · 235 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed 1win57c360.05$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4711652.6%61 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked 1win62c315.52$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9314762.6%92 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Team Lynx36c300$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1079045.6%41 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked Team Lynx13c294.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4815942.8%68 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed 1win57c283.47$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7313152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked 1win59c274.7$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.639949.5%49 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Lynx24c269.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8235032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked 1win65c265.57$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2617954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Team Lynx33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4812651.6%65 W · 61 L+14.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed 1win59c243.85$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9815064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed 1win60c238.8$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5843538.6%168 W · 267 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Team Lynx42c238.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.16936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed 1win50c231.85$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9213145%59 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Lynx34c227.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9565625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked 1win59c227.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.836648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7627…4404backed Team Lynx43c225.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5714832.4%48 W · 100 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc04…7a41backed Team Lynx70c223.3$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked 1win63c221.46$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4523555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed 1win70c210.56$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.036058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Team Lynx31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6116250%81 W · 81 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed 1win71c196.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9923938.5%92 W · 147 L-18.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Team Lynx22c195$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3936044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed 1win50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 1win52c190.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0656348.1%271 W · 292 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831f…9476backed Team Lynx53c184.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.155541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Lynx16c182$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2469033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx63c172.26$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9690756.1%509 W · 398 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1win55c169.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.622,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win37c167.4$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8669552.2%363 W · 332 L+45.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Lynx34c166.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9478516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Team Lynx46c137.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.794949%24 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59f7…c16fbacked 1win49c135.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Lynx33c133.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5965337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Lynx37c119.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0421045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed 1win63c114.23$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Team Lynx38c112$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4821748.8%106 W · 111 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Team Lynx36c110.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7730250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11b5…d0fdbacked Team Lynx76c109.82$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.393240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed 1win70c108$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx40c106.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.611,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd74…76b9backed Team Lynx36c103.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.273531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Team Lynx44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446960.9%42 W · 27 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Team Lynx31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.516453.7%88 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Team Lynx42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428253.7%44 W · 38 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24c6…4a55backed 1win10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed 1win48c97.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8825850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d6…d8d8backed Team Lynx55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.623663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed 1win50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.547951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 1win59c95.89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3173554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked 1win77c91.31$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.015637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed 1win54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4259456.7%337 W · 257 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c35…0ea1backed 1win33c88.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+49.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed 1win43c87.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.121855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed 1win59c85.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9636138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Lynx66c84.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9746451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Team Lynx31c83.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0724518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Team Lynx44c83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5222552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Lynx54c78.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6620954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed 1win50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.841037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Team Lynx36c72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8418248.9%89 W · 93 L+15.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Team Lynx36c72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8420448%98 W · 106 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Team Lynx36c72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8425351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx46c66.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.091,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx32c66.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.031,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Lynx56c66.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2533554.6%183 W · 152 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6489…3a86backed Team Lynx61c64.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.291216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked 1win64c58.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1314744.9%66 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.