TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,339
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,339 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes28c68,982$19,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,132.8311445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Yes0c44,277$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c29,524$21,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,151.382,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c13,003$9,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.184,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c12,417$9,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.476,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c7,992$5,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.7756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No73c7,870$5,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.0114652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes23c7,830$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.63426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c4,889$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.7874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No74c3,944$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.516550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c3,508$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.551,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No73c3,443$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.6915255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c2,768$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.661,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c2,279$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.052,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No80c2,159$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.213748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No73c2,158$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.626262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No76c2,088$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.7414658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes25c1,910$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.54434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c1,595$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked No67c1,394$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.261723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-59.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes19c1,023$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.13240%0 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes27c1,016$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.337648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2809753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No73c999.98$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.995759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No73c942.42$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4517062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes18c757.14$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1825225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No73c739$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5327752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes26c737.49$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7519735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c708.64$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes17c704.67$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes17c671.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.481520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0705…1175backed No70c663.15$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.33666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c637.15$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.037061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes26c614$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes31c612.27$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.87736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.964531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes27c587.11$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.521070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Yes27c573.72$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No75c513.65$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.414261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes25c496.6$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1519826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes35c480.31$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.113132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d3…89e4backed Yes25c460.31$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.553737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes27c447.72$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.882948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes20c424.76$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c423.08$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2341850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11246651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff91…2d75backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No78c389.89$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.298052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed No79c388.51$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.423056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x734e…5ba1backed Yes25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.58831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6210850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6212233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No74c330$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1215030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefca…bf2dbacked Yes27c329.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No73c310.01$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.718352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes31c309.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.862934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c301.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6338233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7247…8e85backed Yes22c293.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No73c250.83$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7212949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes19c250.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.572853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Yes27c247.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b4…7371backed Yes24c240.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes19c239.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.582015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ea…0d2abacked Yes29c224.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-80.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes22c217.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.662540%10 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes25c211.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.524751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No73c207.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0422146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes23c207.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.695225%13 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Yes27c191.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.633246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.754936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No76c177.67$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x267d…3852backed Yes27c154.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.641060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No76c152.18$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2241956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes27c141.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.251520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed No68c140.83$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.074864.6%31 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f3d…c37ebacked No74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No73c132.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.897954.4%43 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes24c131.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No76c129.36$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3428456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Yes25c124.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.76955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Yes30c124.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.362218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebb5…ec99backed Yes24c119.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.631435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e5…2f5bbacked No74c118.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c113.33$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4957150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes29c112.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2372142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed No80c111.86$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.674542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb9…1e95backed No74c111.12$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab7c…746dbacked Yes17c110.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.011233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cb…8d1ebacked No74c107.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…5c17backed Yes27c106.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.69540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9269…5eb8backed Yes27c106.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.693630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No73c105.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4813846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No78c103.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.832944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c100.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.131,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.