TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$965,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,150,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $965,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 637 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes35c185,880$65,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,729.554734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked No65c78,356$50,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,421.251250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No62c71,819$44,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,573.0816040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes37c58,544$21,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,558.2619239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c51,574$32,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,023.032,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No65c50,000$32,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,50016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c44,186$33,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,531.636,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c38,683$24,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,340.851,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c33,713$21,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,132.682,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes36c29,550$10,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,637.995848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes39c26,713$10,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,417.982245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes39c24,703$9,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6343426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No64c24,000$15,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,705.7513348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No65c22,000$14,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7009347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes37c19,378$7,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,129.525145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c13,793$10,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.584,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes29c12,778$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,740.687536%27 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x333d…134ebacked Yes40c12,050$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No62c11,155$6,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,262.1713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes39c10,597$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.9913630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No64c10,516$6,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.454546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed No64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No63c9,665$6,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.853650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes37c9,326$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.2311942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No62c9,163$5,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,495.110951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No61c8,548$5,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.6615949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No64c8,060$5,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.65658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No61c8,000$4,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.966448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No62c7,818$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.6914652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c7,702$5,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.5456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No61c6,810$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.0316050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93df…7990backed Yes25c6,012$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No62c5,863$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.0213155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes37c5,175$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.631931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes37c5,097$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No63c5,000$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.986550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No63c5,000$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9740953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes39c4,941$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c4,615$3,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.831,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No63c4,158$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.1155351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes13c3,781$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.7261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c3,645$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38549544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No65c3,630$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.439061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes39c3,582$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.936229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed No65c3,461$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No62c3,420$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.6815255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes10c3,324$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.7774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c3,269$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.9125225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No64c3,123$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.2812949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c2,971$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.81,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No62c2,932$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.0114158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No62c2,914$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.357061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes35c2,746$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes37c2,694$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.842828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Yes36c2,671$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.63847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes36c2,624$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.64240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Yes37c2,601$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.21540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c2,511$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes38c2,278$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.425749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No75c2,200$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5618756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No62c2,200$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.999451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c2,105$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7792,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No61c2,102$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.4995332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes5c2,073$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.184037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes12c2,070$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.45928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7806262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No64c2,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.9926651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.948343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No64c1,960$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.62934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes25c1,909$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.3919235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934e…f045backed Yes39c1,907$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.551838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes36c1,834$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.411729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No63c1,707$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.095052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No63c1,667$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.7921056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No64c1,641$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.245056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No63c1,581$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.2539555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes6c1,573$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.364531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes13c1,530$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.923632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Yes18c1,495$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.572450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes13c1,490$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes33c1,441$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.995536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes39c1,425$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.547444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Yes40c1,417$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.8350%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No62c1,409$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.51,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes36c1,405$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.821643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes14c1,355$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.681827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes36c1,346$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.659042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c1,331$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.8138233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No74c1,294$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6175542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No63c1,260$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1829458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes18c1,245$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.34626.1%12 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes37c1,243$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.933847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No63c1,220$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Yes37c1,182$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.512055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No64c1,120$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No63c1,092$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.141,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No65c1,088$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.6832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.