TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc788…8545

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$254.84
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,415.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,906.22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,719.43
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,234.7
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,898.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,812.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,562.64
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,837Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,964.92
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,885Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,984.59
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,723Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,723.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,417.98
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,311Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$12,339.89
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,830.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,993.16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,881.96
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$2,274.79
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,421.49
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,079.87
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,899.93
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,274.03
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,410.31
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,928Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,356.41
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$9,884Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+185.4%+$18,324.52
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,902.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,827Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,949.76
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,731Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$5,545.03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,755.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,994.44
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$5,185.37
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,755.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,820.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$3,725.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,347.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,900
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.