Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1d59befc2aa56fd5f8d3e1f36e0232107765302db766115d13aa7d5b25adc6

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,205,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,612,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,205,603 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x91ee…c5b8backed No	61c	2,929,049$1,784,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,784,147.05	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	39c	703,225$272,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430,499.34	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes	39c	608,837$238,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369,947.86	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No	58c	271,731$158,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158,648.38	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	39c	256,259$100,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155,291.54	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes	39c	240,605$93,969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146,636.34	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Yes	39c	216,337$84,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131,965.57	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes	42c	193,482$81,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112,134.71	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes	42c	142,857$60,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,857.14	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	41c	124,869$51,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,712.2	192	39.1%75 W · 117 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No	61c	120,644$73,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,592.63	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No	58c	99,999$58,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,999.52	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02e7…59e5backed Yes	78c	94,385$73,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,928.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	44c	91,768$40,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,979.91	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes	39c	71,565$27,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,654.5	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes	46c	61,809$28,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,171.62	205	45.4%93 W · 112 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	39c	56,000$21,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,160	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	40c	42,160$16,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,463.38	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes	39c	40,460$15,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,680.6	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes	40c	37,500$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,500	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Yes	45c	36,727$16,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,236.47	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes	39c	30,281$11,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,471.39	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	41c	28,134$11,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,561.71	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes	39c	27,932$10,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,038.71	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No	22c	24,029$5,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,346.4	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	20c	22,054$4,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,507.62	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No	59c	21,891$12,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,887.82	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes	39c	20,192$7,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,290.31	98	49%48 W · 50 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	26c	18,996$4,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,917.59	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes	39c	18,888$7,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,521.68	168	48.8%82 W · 86 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15cf…8282backed Yes	40c	18,247$7,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,878.23	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No	59c	17,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	133	48.9%65 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	30c	16,262$4,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,924.12	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	41c	15,075$6,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,164.36	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Yes	42c	14,900$6,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,642	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes	29c	14,713$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,512.75	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	33cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes	40c	14,236$5,742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,494.02	406	55.2%224 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	42c	13,271$5,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,741.43	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes	42c	11,905$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,904.76	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes	42c	11,636$4,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,748.91	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes	39c	11,200$4,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,805.41	90	61.1%55 W · 35 L	+10.8wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,600	119	42%50 W · 69 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes	40c	10,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,000	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed No	61c	10,000$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,100	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes	41c	8,500$3,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,014.81	201	40.8%82 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No	23c	8,173$1,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,917.59	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No	35c	7,944$2,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,769.92	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+14.1wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked Yes	40c	7,600$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,560.16	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Yes	40c	7,537$2,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,551.99	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+6.0wins	+0.13per pick	39cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked No	27c	7,436$1,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980.86	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes	42c	7,076$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,076.35	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes	42c	6,870$2,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,984.59	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes	30c	6,667$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,666.67	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes	39c	6,666$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,066.26	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes	40c	6,665$2,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,999	107	65.4%70 W · 37 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Yes	39c	6,500$2,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,965	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	52cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No	58c	6,500$3,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,769.93	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes	40c	6,250$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,750	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No	57c	6,000$3,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,420	183	62.3%114 W · 69 L	+17.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes	39c	6,000$2,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,660	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes	40c	5,893$2,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,562.67	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes	35c	5,679$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,679.18	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes	40c	5,625$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,375	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+4.6wins	+0.27per pick	43cpaid	+78.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	41c	5,555$2,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,277.45	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes	39c	5,128$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,128.21	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,950	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Yes	40c	4,963$1,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,977.5	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes	42c	4,659$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,679.47	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Yes	42c	4,451$1,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,581.65	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Yes	40c	4,250$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Yes	40c	4,225$1,690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,535	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes	61c	4,113$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,612.83	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes	42c	4,048$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,347.62	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	66c	4,029$2,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369.55	146	58.9%86 W · 60 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No	57c	4,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes	41c	4,000$1,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,360	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Yes	41c	4,000$1,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,370	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	40c	4,000$1,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,380.62	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No	27c	3,985$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.31	263	19.8%52 W · 211 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes	39c	3,848$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,347.28	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes	39c	3,846$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,346.15	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes	41c	3,541$1,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,089.46	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No	59c	3,393$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,001.87	157	57.3%90 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4773…2289backed Yes	34c	3,346$1,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,208.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50eb…7a5cbacked Yes	41c	3,300$1,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,946.43	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba2…c8a4backed No	59c	3,101$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,829.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes	42c	3,071$1,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,781.08	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf65f…4493backed No	58c	3,025$1,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,754.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e39…3e17backed No	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No	21c	2,707$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.84	420	43.8%184 W · 236 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	42c	2,689$1,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,572.86	543	40.5%220 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a4…1573backed No	59c	2,669$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,574.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No	48c	2,614$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263.94	100	53%53 W · 47 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes	39c	2,600$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,586	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,564.04	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55e1…c25cbacked Yes	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Yes	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes	40c	2,500$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes	41c	2,500$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,475	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?No won
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event