TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,427,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,616,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,427,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 691 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes35c2,370,153$840,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840,014.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No64c470,204$302,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,431.291471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No64c334,188$213,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,307.718940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f8…96a4backed No64c328,936$210,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,216.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No65c260,077$169,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,026.941942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No65c188,825$122,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,088.625552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes34c147,389$50,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,005.6519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No65c132,295$85,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,626.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes35c120,052$42,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,018.163946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c110,037$70,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,136.482,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c109,255$72,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,422.26,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes35c105,844$36,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,986.8411149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No65c91,341$59,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,092.8213353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No65c85,500$55,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,9253240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c66,062$42,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,067.012,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No70c56,321$39,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,147.5912847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No65c55,488$36,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,396.661942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No66c42,000$27,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,279.9916651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c36,388$24,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,350.811,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No65c30,870$20,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,701.477450%37 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes30c26,652$7,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,970.1517634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No68c26,149$17,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,329.6356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No65c25,886$16,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,060.2210455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No65c24,580$15,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,610.89347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No65c21,515$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,515.1520545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0001250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No65c18,753$12,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,563.551947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No65c18,560$12,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,536.62560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No65c18,420$11,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,446.963070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No66c17,000$11,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,849.9813348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No66c16,000$10,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,359.873650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No66c15,150$9,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1515352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No66c15,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.976550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef5…dc05backed No66c14,826$9,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,040.91742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No65c14,500$9,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0753050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No65c11,309$7,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,906.6790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No65c11,040$7,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.118253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes7c10,801$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.3110253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x330f…d4b1backed Yes10c10,352$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c10,123$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.5938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Yes27c8,888$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No66c8,860$5,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.383351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No66c8,000$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,72014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No66c7,777$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.9624146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c7,519$4,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.0440655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed No66c7,222$4,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.335145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No64c7,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5202060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes10c5,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No64c5,128$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.189061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No64c4,500$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6203145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes6c4,220$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.825225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc733…3805backed Yes14c4,103$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ff…013abacked Yes35c3,904$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.222060%12 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No64c3,860$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.3510159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed No66c3,700$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2584153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No66c3,642$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.9857847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No66c3,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Yes15c3,482$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5321225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes34c3,441$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1701136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes34c3,170$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.518948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9210768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9720447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed No65c2,938$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.292025%5 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes13c2,875$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c2,769$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.4853240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed No65c2,717$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.922133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de3…2fc5backed No65c2,658$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.471650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes19c2,536$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.385332.1%17 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8252564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No66c2,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed No65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8751353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes8c2,457$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.248737.9%33 W · 54 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed No66c2,441$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.811833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6de4…4936backed Yes4c2,439$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked No66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.733154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes25c2,230$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.62441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No68c2,176$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.472955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No64c2,169$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.6229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No66c2,165$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.3484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes6c2,154$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6850%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes7c2,149$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes35c2,143$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No64c2,091$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.631471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6807959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No65c1,932$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.732951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e73…6de1backed Yes4c1,870$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No66c1,800$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.8655351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No65c1,736$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2335941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes23c1,710$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…0c7cbacked No67c1,651$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.983743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce38…635fbacked Yes2c1,640$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e98…ed3dbacked Yes12c1,600$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked No65c1,540$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5391080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.