TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc061…2336

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+32%+$57.53
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$235.97
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$214.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$179.02
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$291.67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+192%+$767.95
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,566.57
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,129.12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,550
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.01
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$205.71
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$661.88
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.78
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.79
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$417.27
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,501Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,737.98
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$310.53
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.67
Will CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.3
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+1,090%+$309.03
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$562.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$86.84
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$178.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.07
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$447.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$49.87
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$1,120
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$519.81
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,953Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+70%+$1,367.71
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$451.25
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,623.63
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.11
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,235
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.54
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,330
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,618Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$3,437.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$984.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.