TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c6,993$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.743,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under33c6,433$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.01944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over30c3,506$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.5241351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under74c3,285$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.68757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over65c3,218$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.1925872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under74c2,973$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2006858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under46c1,862$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.36756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over26c1,854$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.641,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Under74c1,486$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Under68c1,462$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9cb…5f9fbacked Under74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.74560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over28c1,266$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.3556439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.928351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb15d…e73fbacked Over59c1,031$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under46c688.5$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.714528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under72c657.55$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.1598833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over60c622.06$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.064353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c616.56$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over45c555.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.557750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over34c546$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.2310329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under47c520.95$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.859851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2358347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under10c493$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c490$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.382844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over26c460$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over39c436.16$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.294,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfe…5439backed Under27c372.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under34c371.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.122450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over55c366.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.76879.4%54 W · 14 L+14.7wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under44c343$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.194242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over31c330.59$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22728138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over66c277.2$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2512369.9%86 W · 37 L+29.7wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+69.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over45c238.31$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4133244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6183640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over49c228.53$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2316363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed Over59c207.53$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Under77c193.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Over59c189.89$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.952378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Over51c183.07$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.231844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c172$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4268050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over23c162.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.58445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over26c156.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Under27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under43c147$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.212751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over67c140.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2717562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5813051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over54c129.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7916149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Over50c125.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.071127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b0…2758backed Under64c109.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.14955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over36c107$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8315036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over78c106.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.866350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under75c106$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over41c105.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1119865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under15c100.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over36c92.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.959555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over26c92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4545250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over59c84.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over54c81.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.443548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under44c78.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9721139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under52c78.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9511636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over31c78.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4437348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over78c69.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over57c66.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.813154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over26c65.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7822658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over48c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.751861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bbe…96e8backed Under44c63.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under77c50.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over48c50.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3420253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.755440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under75c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over26c44.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.992556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff0…d4e2backed Over60c43.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x156b…858abacked Over80c43.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c43.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.145841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under41c42.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3839338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over57c37.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.782462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+58%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf93…8458backed Under74c34.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3229…4299backed Over79c32.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under73c32.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9910752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over55c30.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Over59c29.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under41c28.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.416348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under53c26.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8421546%99 W · 116 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over55c24.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.934463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddc…6ebabacked Under77c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under55c23.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.683740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Under68c23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Under74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811769.2%81 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under69c18.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.151872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under77c15.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1522246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.