La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94600d13a28329bd150e374496142254b82adb2d25bb9dc0ca8907c70cd82287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,188$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.29 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 40c | 1,037$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.62 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 1c | 1,007$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 62c | 573$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.35 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0bbfbacked No | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 64c | 305$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 7c | 222$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 7c | 194$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 59c | 146.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 66c | 127.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 58c | 119$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 109.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 40c | 92.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 87.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 39c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 61c | 58.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 58c | 49.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 57c | 44.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked No | 40c | 42.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 60c | 41.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…773cbacked Yes | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed No | 43c | 34.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 37c | 28.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827c…fc72backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 60c | 20.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 59c | 19.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.