TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Over42c6,343$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,678.8515034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c6,262$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,363.364,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over47c5,322$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.146550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over45c3,738$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.151,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c2,721$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.043,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Over43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over43c2,295$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.1413347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under32c2,147$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under55c2,075$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.448347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under57c2,044$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.7957839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Over42c1,905$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under54c1,711$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.738351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7046756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c1,580$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.821,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under59c1,573$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c1,239$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.1769350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under16c1,200$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under56c1,190$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.044242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c1…7636backed Under56c1,145$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c1,136$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.191,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under58c1,097$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.643250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c1,066$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.6170050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under16c1,031$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over60c977$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c833$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.284939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c805.99$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.851,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4724528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c753.94$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.281,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over56c677.65$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.4315236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c496.91$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2789050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over43c476.47$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under24c414.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6434044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under57c351.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.572751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under59c332.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.667949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Under66c303.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Under59c291.53$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over46c286.2$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.551050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c269.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5765356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under55c263.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.192343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over43c259.89$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.067750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under40c259.6$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2841239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under58c252.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5418745.5%85 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under55c250$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.55440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under59c225.61$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.719840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3922939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over44c216.41$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0345949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over43c213.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9415655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.994146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c197.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Under55c178.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ec2…3a87backed Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under55c158.12$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7522658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e6…2ef8backed Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905058%29 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under58c143.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5444840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.26256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Over53c139.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.243450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over41c135.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.798445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over62c129.49$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.943748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under53c125.68$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6110329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over42c124.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.722246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under42c121.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4721439.7%85 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.77552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.76651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160c…185cbacked Over42c100.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.161650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under57c99.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.997258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2449228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over43c95.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2616660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over57c95.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5819865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under45c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…780ebacked Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57af…81cebacked Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under35c82.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3720743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Over43c80.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.83040%12 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under59c77.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.665052%26 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Under58c68.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over64c64.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.354450%22 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2df…0bbfbacked Under55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over43c63.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.169167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over35c62.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.563458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Under59c61.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.313158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417b…18d3backed Under55c61.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.418653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over46c54.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.348843.2%38 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over41c53.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6711436.8%42 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb1…6eb0backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.