La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea6a571f73003d6c460aca89b260d178ef2259488f26f46f73a9d93b5966df5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Over | 42c | 6,343$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.85 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 6,262$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.36 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 47c | 5,322$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.14 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 3,738$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.15 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 2,721$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.04 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 43c | 2,295$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.14 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 32c | 2,147$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 55c | 2,075$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.44 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 2,044$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.79 | 578 | 39.3%227 W · 351 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Over | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 54c | 1,711$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.73 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 1,580$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.82 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under | 59c | 1,573$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 1,239$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.17 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 16c | 1,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 56c | 1,190$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.04 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…7636backed Under | 56c | 1,145$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 1,136$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.19 | 1,186 | 51.7%613 W · 573 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 1,097$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.6 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 1,066$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.61 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 16c | 1,031$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 60c | 977$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.05 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 833$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 805.99$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.85 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 753.94$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.28 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 677.65$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.43 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 496.91$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 476.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.92 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 24c | 414.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed Under | 57c | 351.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 59c | 332.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Under | 66c | 303.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 59c | 291.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 46c | 286.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 269.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 55c | 263.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 43c | 259.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 259.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 412 | 39.1%161 W · 251 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 58c | 252.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 55c | 250$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 59c | 225.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 44c | 216.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 43c | 213.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 197.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Under | 55c | 178.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…3a87backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 55c | 158.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…2ef8backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 143.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 448 | 40.4%181 W · 267 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 53c | 139.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 41c | 135.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 62c | 129.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 53c | 125.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 42c | 124.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 121.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked Over | 42c | 100.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 43c | 95.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 57c | 95.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 35c | 82.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 43c | 80.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 59c | 77.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Under | 58c | 68.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 64c | 64.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0bbfbacked Under | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 43c | 63.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 35c | 62.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 59c | 61.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Under | 55c | 61.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 41c | 53.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb1…6eb0backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.