TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x417b…18d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
574
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10743%46 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$67.27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+187.2%+$32.98
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$28.18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,478Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$885.16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$39.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$173.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$16.68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$50.37
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$754.95
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$66.35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$75.01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.46
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$17.79
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.03
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$20.05
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST5324.5%13 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.21
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+62.1%+$43.65
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$121.69
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+137.9%+$52.51
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.92
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$65.51
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36.58
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.46
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.95
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$88.67
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$56.6
Will "Six Seven" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+52.2%+$8.75
Will "Minnesota" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will "Epstein" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
Will "Acceptance Speech" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.54
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$31.75
Will "Drink" or "Drunk" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.49
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+36.8%+$23.32
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.29
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+160.9%+$41.09
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$142.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$42.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+448.2%+$160.46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$10.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$39.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$327.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$13.28
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$29.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$151.87
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$145.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.28
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$41.82
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$50.48
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$20.26
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$37.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.62
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.36
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+197.1%+$25.91
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+159.9%+$67.54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.12
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.09
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+65%+$67.83
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.06
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+33.7%+$11.55
Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.3
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.4%+$11.32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.6%+$48.53
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+130.1%+$53.67
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.35
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$38.85
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$81.07
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.95
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.91
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.94
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+99.9%+$15.9
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$38.35
Will Trump say "Eight and a Quarter War" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+32.5%+$6.56
Will Trump say "Anniversary" or "America250" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Trump say "Low-IQ" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.5%+$6.18
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+34.9%+$5.21
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.23
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$217.07
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+52.5%+$41.71
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$32.74
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$74.37
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61.1%+$97.39
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.51
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.36
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$62.05
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.33
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$23.78
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$37.42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$61.87
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$28.75
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.01
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$25.88
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$22.69
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.96
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+166%+$79.34
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.67
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$22.32
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$37.55
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$17.39
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$23.46
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.19
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$23.86
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$25.34
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+93%+$86.32
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.89
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+34.4%+$6.4
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$32.47
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.36
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.2%+$21.21
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.94
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$42.24
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.33
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+222.6%+$41.37
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+80.5%+$16.3
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38.92
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+118.1%+$62.48
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$112.25
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$48.28
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+93%+$160.16
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45.11
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+45.4%+$179.49
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$98.74
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$288.03
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,458Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30.3%+$442.22
Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+142.1%+$521.02
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$56.01
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.33
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$56.29
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.71
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.39
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$577.8
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.41
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,948.85
Morgan McSweeney out as Starmer Chief of Staff by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+59.6%+$225.89
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$78.98
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$82.73
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.5%+$24.18
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.4%+$22.74
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+90.9%+$527.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$74.96
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+68.1%+$100.7
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.01
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55.52
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.76
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.79
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.26
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$419.34
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.34
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+38.1%+$48.87
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.51
Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$52.08
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.58
Will John Harbaugh join the Atlanta Falcons prior to April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25.5%+$7.96
Will LAR/CHI/BUF/SF/NE/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.36
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.7
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-4.5)backed Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.58
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakersbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Maine Black Bears: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.26
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.72
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.62
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.77
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.5
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-2.5)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.24
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-5.5)backed Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.37
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.3%+$34.84
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.51
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$143.71
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$105.85
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.9%+$336.47
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+48.6%+$235.8
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+34.3%+$4.51
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30.2
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.07
Will Kathy Hochul say "Trump" 3+ times during the State of the State address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+101.6%+$47.35
Will Kathy Hochul say "Homeless" or "Homelessness" during the State of the State address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+90.1%+$29.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.55
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$24.67
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Fisher College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.11
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.8%+$18.93
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.21
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.36
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.67
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$13.8
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25%+$4.16
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.07
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+120.1%+$295.79
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.7%+$6.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+265.2%+$70.65
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150.7%+$51.95
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.5%+$10.18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+52.7%+$13.18
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 50°F or higher on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$21.82
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53%+$34.66
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$20.89
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$12.92
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.22
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$23.39
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+64%+$203.05
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$9.76
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 4% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Apple reach $288 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Meta reach $720 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.86
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$17.01
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$10.31
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$57.5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.14
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+499.6%+$176.13
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$158.45
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.65
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$111.95
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.51
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$59.71
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28.73
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$61.45
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.73
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+91%+$85.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$11.06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.98
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.3%+$20.45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+34%+$41.48
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$235.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.99
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+65.1%+$232.91
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56.93
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$142.52
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$72.93
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$138.72
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$207.67
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+70.6%+$470.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$27.82
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$30.88
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.71
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-81.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$265.36
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.21
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.8%+$73.77
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$445.4
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.79
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+177%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+71%+$20.77
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$21.87
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+259.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+259.4%+$72.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.