Olympics · resolved market
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdecf18a324e783f11513e78280452dd2846394b7fac0f4f6ca2d57fcf1795fbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed No | 67c | 20,600$13,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,808.41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb5…f7cebacked Yes | 1c | 14,338$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 36c | 10,936$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.65 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 31c | 9,552$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 42c | 5,098$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.52 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de5…3d0fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,341$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,996$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.76 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…c86fbacked No | 59c | 2,400$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 61c | 1,811$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…97debacked Yes | 55c | 1,751$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked No | 54c | 1,500$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.5 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,476$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,267$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Yes | 24c | 1,188$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,158$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.5 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 57c | 1,100$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.74 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.61 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…c427backed No | 71c | 999.96$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 49c | 953.78$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 68c | 950.69$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 896.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…ae1ebacked Yes | 5c | 895.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1d…8bacbacked Yes | 46c | 790.33$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 36c | 784.35$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.76 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 63c | 681.31$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…7976backed Yes | 45c | 656.06$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 24c | 596.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 17c | 583.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 26c | 567.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 46c | 554.64$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 62c | 545.51$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 42c | 517.6$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…6923backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Yes | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed No | 61c | 494.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed No | 55c | 494.39$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked No | 69c | 425.94$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…d1d8backed Yes | 28c | 400$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 30c | 393.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed No | 59c | 375.74$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…cb0dbacked Yes | 24c | 354.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 33c | 327$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…d051backed Yes | 29c | 323.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed No | 67c | 300.48$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked No | 68c | 296.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 284.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…d039backed Yes | 15c | 269.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 39c | 254.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked No | 9c | 253$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 8cpaid | +529.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…272abacked Yes | 28c | 252$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 25c | 249$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 32c | 225.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…2183backed No | 62c | 202.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…c4dbbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d3f2backed No | 60c | 199.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…7389backed No | 60c | 181.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed No | 12c | 172.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…3f9abacked No | 61c | 171.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 61c | 171$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked No | 40c | 164.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Yes | 26c | 162.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…9c16backed Yes | 33c | 159.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…c0cdbacked Yes | 30c | 159$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 26c | 156.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Yes | 24c | 149.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…4257backed Yes | 68c | 147.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Yes | 29c | 139.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…11eabacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 37c | 125.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b2…7402backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked No | 72c | 119.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed No | 55c | 111.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…68c5backed No | 76c | 105.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed No | 64c | 102.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…c0f2backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…ed9fbacked Yes | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a48…497ebacked No | 42c | 96.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…e17ebacked No | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…d745backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…b4cbbacked Yes | 29c | 87.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…5f2abacked No | 61c | 82.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…59a3backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Yes | 28c | 75.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…893bbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…01f7backed No | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.