TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e7b…e17e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pune: Federico Cina vs Felix Gillbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.6
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Qatar Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Ben Sheltonbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marin Cilicbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$40.7
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25%+$12
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Rotterdam Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.78
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+138.1%+$115.88
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$18.13
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.26
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$121.92
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$108.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+260%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$100.8
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+142.6%+$105.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$34.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.