Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa457d6f3b91b844c6cdc51ae5475e6032c96d44bd6ee2766c52dd1cce247b065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,360 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 23,871$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,244.38 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 11,845$7,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.5 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 63c | 10,405$6,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.26 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 36c | 9,106$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.13 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 38c | 8,065$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed No | 38c | 8,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 36c | 3,647$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.78 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 64c | 3,421$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.05 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…7eb3backed No | 2c | 2,941$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Yes | 64c | 2,200$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 1,952$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.09 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 3c | 1,838$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 1,835$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 36c | 1,768$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.66 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 1,623$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 1,471$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.88 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 20c | 1,413$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.56 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.7 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 61c | 1,161$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.26 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 877.43$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 64c | 804.68$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.68 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Yes | 64c | 780$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.81 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 770.71$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 10c | 750.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 64c | 742.45$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 711.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 18c | 709.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 2c | 618.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes | 64c | 595.63$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 10c | 545.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 37c | 520.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 499.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.06 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 499.17$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 35c | 465.15$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 63c | 465$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d830backed Yes | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 7c | 413$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 63c | 377.19$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 60c | 375$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Yes | 64c | 371.88$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 8c | 371$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 7c | 364.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 357.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 36c | 355.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…0b59backed Yes | 78c | 316.74$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 64c | 312.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 38c | 288.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 62c | 255$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 251.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Yes | 63c | 249.94$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 36c | 240.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 64c | 230$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 64c | 229.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…4dd8backed No | 39c | 219.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…946fbacked Yes | 62c | 217.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 216.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…012bbacked Yes | 62c | 216.35$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…3095backed No | 39c | 195.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…119bbacked Yes | 62c | 189.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…390fbacked No | 39c | 187.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…b614backed No | 39c | 186.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 33c | 179.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…ec1cbacked Yes | 62c | 176.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 20c | 174.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb977…aa8ebacked Yes | 62c | 165.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…5e39backed Yes | 62c | 165.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…0b05backed No | 39c | 165.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…b6acbacked No | 39c | 159.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…1bfcbacked No | 39c | 154.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 64c | 151.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.