TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf693…995e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+288.9%+$520
Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.79
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SV 07 Elversberg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$90.8
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$331.99
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
FC Schalke 04 vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$69.9
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.51
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$160.72
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.51
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.04
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$161.99
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+153.6%+$204.75
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$72.56
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.88
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.6
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
CDP Junior FC vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Club Blooming vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112%+$134.12
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.79
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.8
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.99
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.21
CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$183.71
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.94
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$74.76
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.15
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$503.81
Barcelona SC vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.72
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$86.5
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.4
Botafogo FR vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.93
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+209.8%+$216.71
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.17
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$40.7
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.6
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.97
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$80.61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$26.8
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.39
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.53
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$205.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$64.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$52.53
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.44
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$72.39
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$143
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$53.19
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.34
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.62
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+210%+$196.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$90.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Max Holloway next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$23.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cyprus vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.