TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No78c3,647$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.123,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes15c3,380$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9564043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c3,280$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.534547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c2,947$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.731,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes15c2,441$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.096232.3%20 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c2,191$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.841,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.974757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c1,981$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.271,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c1,974$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.062,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No71c1,965$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2715064%96 W · 54 L+25.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8b96…acfdbacked Yes9c1,770$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ca…9c99backed Yes9c1,768$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ba…5ccdbacked Yes9c1,746$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb5…4b52backed Yes9c1,615$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x190d…dfe8backed Yes38c1,522$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2eb…9d06backed No65c1,520$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes35c1,473$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.437254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x021d…b0febacked Yes9c1,467$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c1,435$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.8420845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf980…c45bbacked Yes9c1,401$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes24c1,358$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1533938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No72c1,180$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4344655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Yes14c1,121$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.94825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No71c1,106$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.875457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No72c1,081$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.642867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes20c883.54$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4112141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes10c662.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2219458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No66c489.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5316652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes38c442.89$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.315244.1%67 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No72c341.39$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.595375.5%40 W · 13 L+10.0wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes37c327.87$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c313.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6181732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes37c305.77$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.143658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes37c305.77$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1420548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No62c290.01$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.24645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes38c266.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2529855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a6…771fbacked Yes39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.34955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3417549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No72c244.98$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.599742.3%41 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes39c240.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.931625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes17c238.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.489354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes25c210.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.624837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3960…0975backed Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+130.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f7d…2669backed No61c199.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…5898backed Yes13c190.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked No65c189.13$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.21070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes15c154.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.734524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes34c141.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.023458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes23c141$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.04812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.097268.1%49 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.113464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked Yes26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.416343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes37c108.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8633047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2428241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311539.1%45 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Yes18c98.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.922240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No63c97.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No63c97.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1813555.6%75 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes19c95.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5422221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes16c90.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.252142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes18c88.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4711356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c87.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0856951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes34c84.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.819937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes33c70.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0912560.8%76 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes31c70.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.564533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No68c69.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226854.4%37 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No64c58.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1714942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No64c58.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.065846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Yes33c58.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd559…603abacked Yes24c56.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No70c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9827554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes20c53.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6639558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No61c52.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.516846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes23c52.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.074129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No76c52.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.549549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.244753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2412346.3%57 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Yes37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes38c51.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3917247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c50.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.762452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820251%103 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.275855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes37c45.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7314652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No80c43.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.672642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc7…89d6backed No71c40.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.628755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1986…2766backed Yes39c39.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No72c37.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.469052.2%47 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No80c37.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.414845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c34.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9469851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No79c33.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0939857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No79c30.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.659265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes37c30.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.337265.3%47 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.