TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f7d…2669

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.03
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.1
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$91.35
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.27
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.97
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78.08
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.01
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$74.27
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.99
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$73.99
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.12
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.02
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.04
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.1
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$77.99
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$81.88
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-61.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.04
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.56
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$131.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.