TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,086,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,122,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,086,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb5…c494backed Yes48c754,633$365,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365,750.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No52c266,482$138,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,184.5713353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No51c75,680$38,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,741.081942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No52c67,251$34,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,280.472657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c60,075$30,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,227.362,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c37,050$22,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,637.026,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c35,941$19,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,576.412,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes45c33,062$14,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,867.2116040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked No52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c28,243$14,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,839.317851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes46c20,124$9,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,209.419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No52c18,888$9,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,066.2416848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c16,760$9,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,378.981,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c13,420$8,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9364,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No51c13,379$6,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,505.185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No53c12,276$6,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,769.7210962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed No47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes47c10,500$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.985848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc4…1f41backed Yes48c10,402$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No51c10,000$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.914546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No51c9,257$4,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536.140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No53c8,816$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.4524146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No53c7,629$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,623.4376842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes45c6,712$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No51c6,252$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.0418453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No50c5,954$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.161947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No53c5,364$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.210951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc666…3706backed Yes48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid+42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.0832345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c3,616$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.721,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c3,573$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.8684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes12c3,191$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0234628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3202564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3503641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.986660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.196354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c2,722$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.7649544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9927752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed No55c2,306$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.611040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No52c2,222$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5632158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa475…bfe7backed No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9005100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No54c1,998$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.142450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes11c1,981$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8880%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes18c1,969$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No51c1,780$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.012060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No51c1,772$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.2829250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes41c1,696$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.317129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c1,524$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.3159247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed No54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6904153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No71c1,415$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.3553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Yes22c1,384$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No52c1,380$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.389859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No52c1,279$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.418259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No54c1,261$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.6990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa738…437abacked Yes49c1,214$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yes15c1,133$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes47c1,041$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.314233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes44c1,020$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.857846.2%36 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No56c1,000$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.062955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4502250%11 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No53c999.94$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9716050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No42c866$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.4722458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes48c804$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.9225648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No55c803.76$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6913847.1%65 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes47c749.82$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2530057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes62c746.77$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.421752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No52c739.96$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35541850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes47c709.21$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.335543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes48c684.9$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.5277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No43c671.59$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.98257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No47c665.95$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked No50c663$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes49c612.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3715543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002924.1%7 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2709451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes47c562.82$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dd…3c69backed Yes8c555$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes48c530$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.45339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No54c529.24$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab2…a2b7backed Yes50c525.14$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.321741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes9c519.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457736.4%28 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24517959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24516858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.