TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1894…9b71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$504.55
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$34.46
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.42
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$119.34
Will West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$144.18
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.68
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.74
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$221.95
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$362.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$411.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$437.83
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.37
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.11
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$894.91
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.84
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.58
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.72
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.25
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.76
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,601.71
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$733.02
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$167.27
Will FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$40.18
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.73
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.92
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.19
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.07
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+55.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.55
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+178%+$641.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$399.03
Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$135.59
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$146.05
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$24.33
Will CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44%+$133.39
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+371.7%+$1,141.98
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$53.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.26
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.54
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$207.99
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$258
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.