TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,966 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes0c94,098$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.016,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes9c16,145$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.282,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes5c12,760$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63813748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes19c10,237$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.781,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes0c4,701$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.175313.2%7 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes19c3,751$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.62828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes13c3,642$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.131752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes18c3,494$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.69113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No79c2,475$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.719055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes6c2,304$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3826319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes8c2,146$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0638233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb449…23fbbacked Yes6c2,115$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.85944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes10c1,862$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.564431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes18c1,741$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1130666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No74c1,559$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.243732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+97.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes7c1,413$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.069660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes10c1,279$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8895332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes6c1,156$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3916651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c1,050$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5425225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes19c997.72$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.574119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes19c951.4$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.771435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes22c926.62$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7518748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes24c648.2$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5736462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebae…fb79backed Yes6c599.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…74d3backed Yes19c597.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.581546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Yes19c589.87$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.07825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes19c588.84$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.32,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes17c588.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes17c582.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.620425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.083855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes15c499.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514938.3%57 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes18c480.17$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.31,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a02…ebffbacked Yes6c446.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes7c436.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.271,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c433.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2953240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf9bc…b282backed Yes16c367.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.79128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-84.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85b4…7371backed Yes20c334.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes19c300.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.085022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes17c291.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.495145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes14c284.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6412136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes19c250.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5713944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes22c244.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.512560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes8c241.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes7c234.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6975542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7a…b823backed Yes18c230.35$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.462433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes19c207.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.413426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes19c200.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0614949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66a…d5a6backed Yes13c194.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.691833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067e…625bbacked Yes18c183.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.281618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes17c180$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.622746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes19c150.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5412239.3%48 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2425…d39abacked Yes20c142.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.565932.2%19 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf341…9bd8backed Yes19c140.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.642944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes17c132.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4710252%53 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…b4c6backed Yes19c125.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.791625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes19c125.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.782227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2512162.8%76 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No78c121.42$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.219244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes20c119$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.811139.6%44 W · 67 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes18c108.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.619331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes13c105.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2528531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.026637.9%25 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes15c105.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.145347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0345224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0860…d30fbacked Yes19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.032218.2%4 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0313635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Yes19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.032441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Yes19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.037146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49b8…1417backed Yes19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.037536%27 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3396…0ef4backed Yes19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202070%14 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187045.7%32 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…9e46backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed No80c99.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.882755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes19c90.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1311044.5%49 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0614043.6%61 W · 79 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a4…9eaebacked Yes22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0614844.6%66 W · 82 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a9…6bb5backed Yes18c81.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aab…2b62backed Yes19c75.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.272317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No78c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2517244.2%76 W · 96 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes20c70.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.834542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d17…55f1backed Yes15c70.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3541956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb23…d37bbacked Yes21c67.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4f1…74febacked Yes22c66.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes19c66.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6514049.3%69 W · 71 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc561…ab7cbacked Yes18c57.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes18c55.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.013125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d7…b0e5backed Yes23c55.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No78c41.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.016940.6%28 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.