TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7d7…b0e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+342.5%+$71.98
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.64
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+139.5%+$24.12
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$4.56
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$8.33
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96%+$14.37
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$4.72
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$11.79
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.7%+$10.11
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.4%+$4.31
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+48.1%+$4.92
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+120.5%+$12.12
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+120.3%+$19.2
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55.03
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+157.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.82
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$160.05
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$137.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+151.7%+$22.16
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.13
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+105%+$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.