Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aadfa302700e2464777434a2737ccdff4f89369f9b54f4b0034c15b0cefb9d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 1c | 28,722$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 17c | 11,521$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.29 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 21c | 2,506$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.81 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 12c | 1,825$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 1,798$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.56 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed Yes | 6c | 1,573$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 1,075$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed No | 76c | 1,015$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 17c | 980.01$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 32c | 967.5$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 33c | 553.34$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 22c | 499.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 16c | 457.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 15c | 455.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 21c | 452.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes | 17c | 445.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 16c | 397.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 54c | 363.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.59 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 17c | 319.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 17c | 318.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 17c | 318.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 309.32$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 11c | 309$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 16c | 277.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 11c | 268.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Yes | 19c | 231.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Yes | 25c | 229.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Yes | 25c | 225.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes | 16c | 176.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed No | 78c | 157.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 155.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…54f6backed Yes | 9c | 143.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 38c | 141.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Yes | 9c | 140.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…b5a0backed Yes | 10c | 137.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 134.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 17c | 123.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 42c | 122.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 11c | 117.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 19c | 116.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 9c | 115.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Yes | 25c | 110.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 12c | 108.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 22c | 107.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 21c | 107.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 39c | 103.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 17c | 102.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 36c | 95.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 92.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 28c | 87.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 17c | 86.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 85.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 83.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 79.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Yes | 25c | 72.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 69c | 71.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 21c | 69.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 66c | 67.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…b0e5backed Yes | 23c | 62.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed No | 79c | 62.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Yes | 23c | 62.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed No | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 23c | 52.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 22c | 49.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 80c | 44.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 33c | 38.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed No | 79c | 37.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed No | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 31.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 80c | 29.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 46c | 26.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed No | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed No | 78c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5a26backed No | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 54c | 19.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 71c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-13?this page
- Will CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.