TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Yes71c2,788$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.0841339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c2,143$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.8377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes45c1,925$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.7419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c1,672$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.563,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes15c1,562$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.623923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes23c1,521$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.2820660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes29c1,246$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.119960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes47c1,073$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.331834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes24c733.12$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.4716856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes50c677.69$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes51c656.49$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.181,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No60c568.99$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.663743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No63c541.81$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.662931%9 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No64c531.85$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.664447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No65c521.25$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.662941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No21c520.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.831,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes40c497.74$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6429370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes41c487.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7915458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No63c410.08$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.961952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No65c401.46$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.963351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes49c400.58$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.631258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes49c343$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c326.58$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22211441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2229652.1%50 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No27c277.42$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.826346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No61c260.32$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.962450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes51c258.12$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9221545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8ab…c40ebacked No60c237.91$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes29c216.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0518967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c185.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No63c159.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1534…9086backed Yes36c140.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.32425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-29.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No40c131.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4520641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes34c129.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.348241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes44c124.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.317953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No17c123.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3237138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes46c117.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6710957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe136…b79fbacked Yes25c114.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.811414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No61c112.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.911540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes40c111.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.864673.9%34 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No56c102.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c102.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4280358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No60c98.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes46c93.91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.715759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed No66c89.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.961942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7210046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No47c85.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b8…98d8backed Yes25c82.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+96.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No25c79.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8724920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f46…2a17backed Yes72c79.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed No59c75.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.752343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes25c75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked No63c72.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.511833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5437649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c68.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2ca…5ad9backed Yes77c64.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe644…76b6backed No77c63.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No70c62.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1437249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed No61c59.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.85366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Yes67c55.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes42c55.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9312571.2%89 W · 36 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes75c53.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.163966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked No62c48.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-68%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes52c47.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8139567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c44.84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked No65c43.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.171625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes65c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.355750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.62227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes66c37.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f7a…3f62backed Yes54c36.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes50c34.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.023240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes38c29.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.376056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…8573backed No53c29.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef6f…a9b2backed No61c28.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes50c27.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.094355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes53c27.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.062334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked No76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d7…b0e5backed Yes49c25.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes47c22.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0917753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad78…678cbacked No78c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick79cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No74c18.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.617542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked No65c18.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed No67c17.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.