Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31405650d9ad8215d03a14e404e5dcfd95ff6db814e8da1925de540e781d1fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 28c | 1,863$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,424$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 1,230$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 73c | 1,182$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Yes | 1c | 908.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 612.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 514.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 506.87$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 56c | 416.82$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 51c | 333.35$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 28c | 333.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 50c | 281.75$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.23 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 203.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 177$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 176.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 25c | 171.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 167$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…ce0bbacked Yes | 31c | 145.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 70c | 124.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 106.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 88.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 76.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 73.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 64c | 73.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 67c | 71.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 68.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 57.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 35c | 37.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 36c | 30.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 77c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 79c | 21.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 64c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…bec4backed No | 75c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.