TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed No59c42,955$25,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,741.625100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c12,063$4,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,912.373,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c6,746$3,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.9377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No48c5,842$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.8613053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes52c3,447$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.254751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes52c2,727$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.843452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes43c2,664$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.075451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes50c2,502$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.5647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes41c2,441$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes52c2,308$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes41c2,123$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.518563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes41c2,123$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.5112254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes41c2,123$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.5114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes41c2,123$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.0715458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes41c2,121$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.53863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes41c1,829$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.979250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes51c1,756$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No50c1,069$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.1837138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes50c1,004$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.121560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes50c1,002$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.811346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50042947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No51c922.96$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.522650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes41c920.47$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.574447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No50c880$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes41c878.27$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.29458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes45c833.7$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.241,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes41c818.72$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.892941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes49c799.26$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8731834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes41c758.69$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.062931%9 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes41c748.27$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3073743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes41c731.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.993060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes41c689$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.494369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Yes41c609.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+51.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes50c605.81$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.715024%12 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes51c604.9$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.55232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+90.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c567.24$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4445140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes15c561.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7541339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c518.3$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3821545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes50c499.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes12c487.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.128721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes41c482.16$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.685160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes41c479.35$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.533461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes41c463.65$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.33351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes29c450$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3129370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c363.7$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed No56c356.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.061060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No49c347.48$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Yes41c345.11$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c344.94$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes49c342.45$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.81,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No68c332.57$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7314761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes49c311$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4120641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1565156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes41c295.39$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9319052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c284.09$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes41c268.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.246752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No53c253.74$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.31,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes50c253.06$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes41c238.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6924859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes41c238.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.696358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Yes41c237.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.231323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes41c229.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.282744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes38c229.49$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.126346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c223$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9719073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked No67c222.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.543100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b8…98d8backed Yes18c222.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+96.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c216.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes51c213.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec7…485abacked Yes43c162.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No54c151.49$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.529452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes47c146.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9755750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834a…8dcabacked Yes29c137.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+119.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No77c130.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.191275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.310757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Yes41c124.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.11625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3516856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked Yes41c117.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No49c115.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes41c114.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.291540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes49c111.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No51c102.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.246454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes40c101$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c101$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.339567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…0648backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No51c96.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.523565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes32c95.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1417753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Yes41c95.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.161833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.