TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe129…fef1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.59
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$56.59
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.81
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$36
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.33
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$24.4
Will New York City FC vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$72
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$22.95
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$21.01
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigersbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinosbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wizbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.75
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$73.47
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.57
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landersbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$119.93
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigersbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twinsbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+172.5%+$50.23
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.64
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wizbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$42.73
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lionsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$70.81
All 16 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.91
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$56.91
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$26.93
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+165.4%+$31.42
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Rosenborg BK vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$19.12
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+134%+$26.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.