Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb776c5a63be37f97db73ec8304512825834e678eb9b495f7ef6a864378facfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes | 34c | 2,215$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 1,343$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 28c | 811.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 496.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 68c | 471.43$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 15c | 431.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 15c | 423.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 66c | 362$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 345.34$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 18c | 339.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 19c | 326.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Yes | 19c | 322$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 67c | 296.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 65c | 265$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 223.6$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…3bf6backed Yes | 33c | 211.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 211.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 72c | 211.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 72c | 211.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 72c | 211.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 72c | 211.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 72c | 211.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…9f27backed Yes | 30c | 200.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 198.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 65c | 190$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 19c | 182$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 151$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 147.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 136.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…b79fbacked Yes | 34c | 128$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…330bbacked No | 67c | 120.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 67c | 106.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 66c | 103.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 91.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 67c | 84.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -68%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 68c | 77.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…ce0bbacked Yes | 27c | 75.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 32c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked No | 65c | 59.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 33c | 51.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 46.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 44.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…6c9fbacked Yes | 34c | 42.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 26c | 40.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…f9c9backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 31c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 29c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed No | 67c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?No won
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.