Mls · resolved market
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5af4e14e162704c4d132a06ffd02ca245738e28d66f37f97623c3c75b96b14c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 80c | 5,328$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.53 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 72c | 4,517$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.65 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 3,738$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.33 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 59c | 1,929$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 953.28$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 41c | 834.47$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.39 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 49c | 815.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.15 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 10c | 683.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 7c | 683.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 41c | 668$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 32c | 665.17$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 38c | 565.03$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 500$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 41c | 474.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 393.51$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.07 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 15c | 342.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 51c | 315.31$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 288.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 73c | 271.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 249.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 22c | 233.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 22c | 231.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 60c | 222$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 22c | 220.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 201.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 41c | 164$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 16c | 153.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 32c | 152$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 47c | 120.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 19c | 110.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 19c | 110.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 19c | 110.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 19c | 110.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 19c | 110.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 19c | 110.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 19c | 110.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 19c | 110.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 19c | 110.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 85.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked No | 45c | 68.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 79c | 67.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 47c | 67.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 19c | 66.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 64.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 67c | 59.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 38c | 57.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 62c | 50.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 63c | 47.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…f2ecbacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 35.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 52c | 35.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 78c | 33.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 64c | 31.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d21fbacked Yes | 79c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.