TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x479e…91c3backed Yes48c4,190$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed No61c3,764$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes14c3,131$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5319073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes13c3,008$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.452965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes20c2,912$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.419239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad1…f046backed Yes15c2,184$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes22c1,903$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes15c1,781$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6329370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c1,708$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes18c1,672$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.813625%9 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes12c1,589$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.077334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes15c1,581$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.451,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9239567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c1,182$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.851,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes14c846.79$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6437138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes43c819.45$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.859458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes43c819.45$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.859250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes41c724.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed No53c648.27$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes43c562.37$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.216752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No80c518.76$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7587154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes25c517.84$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.043234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c486.89$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1521545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No80c415.15$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.782941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes42c388.82$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No80c380.7$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.74447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Yes11c342$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes11c333.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b5a…b5ebbacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes20c249.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c235.59$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.373,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes42c215.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.283565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes42c214.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.286454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes12c210.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.32343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+60.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe129…fef1backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242540%10 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No78c181.34$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0723548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe136…b79fbacked Yes12c179.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.291414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed No61c163.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.63040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No79c159.92$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.789965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes12c149.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.928919.1%17 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9f7…b466backed Yes12c141.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes18c137.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7529460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes13c133.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.322857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No77c130.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Yes44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes14c118.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8816856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked No43c112.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.11070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36de…ea85backed Yes11c106$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked No48c104.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ee…9f27backed No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+136.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c104.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2324920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No50c100.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.433231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes13c99.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes42c95.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.294858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes47c95.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.72955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68f…3211backed Yes16c94.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c91.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes24c91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.732748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes12c89.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb4…e3fbbacked Yes57c72.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No77c69.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.782259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No61c68.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed No50c63.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.241637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Yes42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes23c57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.212347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc62…c38cbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes43c41.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.561060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes43c41.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.569452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7703…eed9backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No63c36.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+190.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No73c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes37c29.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.753240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes41c28.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.583470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3016…f1fcbacked No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes57c24.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…9916backed Yes52c24.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked No48c22.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes47c21.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106254.8%34 W · 28 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked No79c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c15.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0627058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.