Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef751aba1c5679f9999b9c4c5e823e6b2ba6de52aa82e3b74b443a214aa78bdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 15,138$11,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,356.17 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 34c | 4,308$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 3,844$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 2,747$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.3 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 2,261$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.5 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,747$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 25c | 1,601$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.54 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 17c | 1,589$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.74 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 35c | 1,407$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.83 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 1,134$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.55 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 26c | 1,026$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 917.85$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.88 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 665.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.24 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 77c | 657.41$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 36c | 650.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 43c | 618.33$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.89 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 36c | 412.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 407.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.84 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 61c | 399.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 31c | 373.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.3 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 31c | 373.39$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.3 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 25c | 331.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.65 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Yes | 30c | 306$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 303$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.39 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 30c | 293.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 292.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 286.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 31c | 286.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 17c | 282.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 31c | 251.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 46c | 201.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 62c | 180.07$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 174$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 55c | 165.39$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 43c | 138$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 17c | 136.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 46c | 136.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 20c | 126.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 56c | 122.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 78c | 118.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 30c | 95.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 21c | 86.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 45c | 86.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 33c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 18c | 83.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 72c | 82.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 29c | 77.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 77c | 63.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Yes | 61c | 58.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d21fbacked Yes | 22c | 54.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 29c | 49.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 39.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 35c | 38.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 44c | 33.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 36c | 32.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 57c | 29.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 29.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…9916backed Yes | 71c | 28.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Yes | 72c | 26.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 26.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 45c | 22.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 73c | 21.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 69c | 16.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.