TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3096…71c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatubacked Vanuatu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.62
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.06
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$74.31
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenbacked Indonesia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.74
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Omanbacked Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+67%+$98.17
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$44.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+113.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.46
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$23.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.04
Will FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$35.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$7.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.