Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe08470bbff02f5ccc8898a76c6369d24a46c59b10f1f655093c661e9e22c696a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 32c | 36,239$11,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,711.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Yes | 27c | 28,013$7,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,637.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3bcbbacked Yes | 70c | 27,919$19,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,644.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 71c | 19,646$13,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,850.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 27c | 17,877$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.81 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 16,384$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,106.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 44c | 14,331$6,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,002.22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 71c | 10,669$7,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,575.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked No | 52c | 10,588$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 50c | 10,147$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.82 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 7,030$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.93 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…b3debacked Yes | 71c | 6,878$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 20c | 5,950$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…c398backed Yes | 69c | 5,469$3,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 5,187$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 65c | 4,455$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.28 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 4,020$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.21 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 2,689$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.95 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 72c | 2,566$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 30c | 2,438$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.28 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 2,215$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.39 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 28c | 2,026$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 79c | 2,025$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 73c | 1,755$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 61c | 1,650$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 45c | 1,648$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.07 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 26c | 1,433$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.68 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 1,366$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.98 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 38c | 1,327$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.68 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 39c | 1,291$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.57 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 31c | 1,261$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.24 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 30c | 1,225$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.46 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 50c | 1,174$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,039$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.06 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 26c | 1,007$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 26c | 995.18$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 68c | 954.14$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.68 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 50c | 913.7$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.85 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 848.91$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Yes | 12c | 807.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 31c | 803.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.75 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 669.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 662.61$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Yes | 23c | 622.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Yes | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 67c | 583.13$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.14 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 38c | 531.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.27 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 32c | 512.87$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.75 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…3f24backed Yes | 28c | 512.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…ec4cbacked Yes | 69c | 504.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 26c | 499.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f13…6a96backed No | 73c | 495.84$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 25c | 492.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 67c | 488.32$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 434.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 411.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 70c | 377.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 28c | 366.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 359.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 344.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 27c | 344$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…ba40backed Yes | 70c | 343.7$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 53c | 336.24$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 65c | 336$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 27c | 335.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed No | 73c | 302.75$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 28c | 298.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 71c | 294.66$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 28c | 287.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 286.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 280$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 39c | 279.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 68c | 274.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…f358backed Yes | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…1a70backed Yes | 26c | 255.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 27c | 251.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 68c | 244.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 30c | 239.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 236.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 73c | 229.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked No | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 73c | 217.18$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 29c | 214.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 22c | 206$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 15c | 194.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 35c | 194.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes | 24c | 192.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 30c | 191.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 28c | 174.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 45c | 170.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 26c | 157.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 155.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?Yes won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.