Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb465bbb7c7db435b7994015bd26b5c14ff1f42edec1ad03e22a7bf0fdc6597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 26c | 45,904$11,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,958.37 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 74c | 19,635$14,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,519.31 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 19,141$14,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,189.11 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 15,125$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 6,343$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.67 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 5,382$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.11 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed No | 75c | 4,793$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 4,462$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.13 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 4,207$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.05 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 3,341$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.04 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 3,274$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.14 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 45c | 2,155$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.51 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 75c | 2,133$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.65 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 2,014$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.78 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 52c | 2,009$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,792$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.93 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed No | 75c | 1,008$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 38c | 990.67$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 955.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 26c | 838.07$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.84 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 22c | 802.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 784.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.84 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 19c | 751.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.4 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 26c | 721.69$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.51 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed No | 55c | 531.92$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 510.21$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.69 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 74c | 431.08$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 38c | 418.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 25c | 400$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 26c | 385.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 26c | 382.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…aeaabacked Yes | 77c | 380.4$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 30c | 344.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 24c | 324.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.35 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 7c | 319.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 19c | 300.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 60c | 253.25$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c8…0cecbacked Yes | 45c | 236.38$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 19c | 222.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 45c | 209.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 46c | 202.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 187.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 25c | 161.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 158.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 151.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 144.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed No | 75c | 137.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…200cbacked No | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c51bbacked Yes | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed No | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 57c | 128.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 41c | 123.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 109.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Yes | 26c | 108.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 107.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 52c | 104.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 27c | 100.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 100.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 25c | 100.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 18c | 99.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 67c | 99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Yes | 25c | 97.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Yes | 80c | 95.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 25c | 93.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 25c | 92.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 27c | 91.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 90.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 89.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…c52cbacked Yes | 26c | 86.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 68c | 86.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 70c | 86.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…facfbacked Yes | 72c | 84.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 19c | 79.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked No | 74c | 78.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 28c | 67.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 26c | 67.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…6d93backed No | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…1532backed No | 68c | 58.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Yes | 37c | 55.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 55c | 53.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 75c | 49.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 74c | 49.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 25c | 47.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.