Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2b07016769e8f111a1f4f32d69abb0fa1b415fbbaf0ff492ce85505f46c447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 50c | 17,252$8,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,625.78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 38c | 12,653$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.14 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 40c | 11,302$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.91 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 10,415$5,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,953.5 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 53c | 10,107$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 48c | 8,421$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,031.09 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked No | 77c | 8,319$6,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 37c | 8,261$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 52c | 7,783$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 7,050$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.78 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 6,548$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.04 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 15c | 6,327$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 60c | 6,299$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 5,969$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.09 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 47c | 5,768$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.96 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 51c | 5,727$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.64 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 4,320$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.02 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 53c | 4,304$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 4,216$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.79 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 48c | 4,088$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.49 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…6f34backed Yes | 48c | 3,800$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 3,683$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.95 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 51c | 3,196$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.9 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 47c | 2,905$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.16 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 52c | 2,904$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.05 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 2,756$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.25 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 22c | 2,423$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.89 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 2,167$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.96 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 52c | 2,112$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 66c | 2,091$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.17 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…facbbacked Yes | 48c | 2,024$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.95 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 11c | 1,886$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 1,800$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.7 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 14c | 1,288$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 48c | 1,110$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 25c | 942.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 41c | 935.19$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 15c | 923.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 807.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.87 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.4 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 41c | 748.15$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 746.07$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.47 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 52c | 736.15$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.35 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 48c | 714.31$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.98 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 52c | 669.18$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.21 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 15c | 656.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 47c | 621.68$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.19 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed No | 52c | 612.5$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 602.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 590.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 62c | 580.9$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 51c | 568.71$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 43c | 548.04$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed Yes | 47c | 529.17$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 47c | 522.95$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Yes | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 39c | 494.05$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 15c | 474.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 41c | 446$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 48c | 439.01$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed No | 52c | 436$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 75c | 432.91$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed No | 53c | 425.81$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 47c | 419.21$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Yes | 48c | 408.75$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…703bbacked Yes | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 49c | 395.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 49c | 388.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 32c | 385.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 24c | 376.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 52c | 364.35$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.89 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 27c | 358.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 49c | 356.11$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…604cbacked Yes | 49c | 344.71$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 53c | 330.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 47c | 323.32$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 9c | 316.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb271…34d4backed Yes | 41c | 309.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 49c | 306.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 48c | 304.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 48c | 302.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 299.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.