TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c29…87dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boston River vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.55
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.17
Will O'Higgins FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$49.3
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.01
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.43
Will CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.88
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$414.61
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.08
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+231%+$111.13
Will Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.61
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.42
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.37
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.24
Will Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.01
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Will Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$149.36
Will Mirassol FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.64
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$507.44
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+630%+$411.77
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Mexico vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Russia vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$339.53
Will Russia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.81
Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$234.68
Will Cyprus vs. Moldova end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.73
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.49
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$202.76
Will Armenia vs. Belarus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.22
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$147.14
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$296.33
Will Lithuania vs. Georgia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.98
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$281.53
Will United States win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.21
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.62
Will Canada vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+141.3%+$42.38
Will Scotland win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Peru win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$161.12
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.93
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.1
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.27
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$94.93
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.86
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.07
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+442.3%+$398.05
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.22
All 23 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$158.79
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.73
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.97
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+453.6%+$525.72
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.66
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Will NEC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+237.4%+$104.83
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.64
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$95.42
Will Heracles Almelo vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.54
Will PSV win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$165.1
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.78
Will PSV win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$827.62
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.59
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$168.34
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$56.52
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$111.13
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.75
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$105.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.1
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$94.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.87
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.43
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$151.67
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.75
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+147.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$324.99
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$131.12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$134.72
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$196.91
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$168.51
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$132
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.91
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+1,592.6%+$1,455.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.66
Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$272.69
Will AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+367.5%+$122.57
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.05
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.92
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.97
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$170.21
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.14
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.78
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$131.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.42
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+525%+$224.34
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.07
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$29.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$34.79
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.25
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.