TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed No1c22,226$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.314443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c3,194$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.561,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes38c3,170$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.221,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c1,098$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.455,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No74c940.81$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.210158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes26c928.67$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.221,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196e…e9d6backed Yes57c921.22$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes68c704.22$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.61323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf304…1b01backed Yes69c565.75$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c436.08$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.111,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No25c400.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6211230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes28c369.43$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3216534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No32c355.63$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No71c344.83$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.415326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c314.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.943,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed No23c297.07$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.412433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes79c296.22$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.216753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No47c270.76$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes31c244.29$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.563225%8 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No74c234.01$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.173366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c228.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.632,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c225.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.918,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes31c216.46$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.362931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes43c215.17$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.945226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c213.61$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.391,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes30c159.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.776020%12 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c149.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.633,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked No73c134.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick68cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Yes31c112.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.791225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No72c104.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes52c103.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.952040%8 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c99.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8583642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd945…fbd1backed Yes69c99.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No46c99.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5636339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed No33c88.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.242445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c81.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No73c74.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.22642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes16c74.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+103.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No62c68.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No62c67.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1211856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No62c67.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1241256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No62c65.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9157157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes30c64.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes28c61.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2920142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes69c58.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.028447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes45c58.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.842060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes31c54.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.713373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x824c…e309backed Yes72c54.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No70c53.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No70c53.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4918154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No70c53.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No70c53.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4915956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No70c53.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4916160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a9…f96dbacked Yes76c51.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes66c51.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.483452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9996…6810backed No28c50.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce3…6011backed Yes34c49.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.59714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No58c45.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.485660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c43.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No58c43.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2744959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No70c42.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4616759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No71c42.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Yes50c38.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4178…8b48backed Yes73c37.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.044158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No72c35.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.472369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No66c33.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1229245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed No54c31.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.941553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes61c30.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b0…76dfbacked No44c30.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.391250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x019b…4190backed Yes65c29.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.097160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Yes67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No66c29.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No70c28.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.643658.3%21 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2026…e212backed Yes52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No53c28.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.854429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Yes74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No47c26.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x278f…5c17backed No59c24.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6360%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No70c21.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9829362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Yes77c19.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.554763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No80c19.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8113451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No73c18.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.523240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No72c16.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8628665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.