South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa080d81d67bbf95feaf976abe955e8162547944787bd9543843f751feabb162a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 4,352$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.22 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 3,766$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.91 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 3,484$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed No | 51c | 2,475$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 1,635$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.69 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 80c | 1,551$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.22 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 36c | 1,483$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.87 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,360$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,183$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 829.88$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.29 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 660.46$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed No | 51c | 554.46$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.02 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 482.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 37c | 474.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 37c | 474.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.39 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 37c | 438.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 37c | 438.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 23c | 416.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 367.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 24c | 322.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 53c | 317.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 305.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 53c | 300.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 17c | 293.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 21c | 278.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 38c | 277.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes | 20c | 209.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 60c | 201.15$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 18c | 133.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 47c | 132.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 16c | 128.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 18c | 126.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 20c | 125.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Yes | 51c | 117.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Yes | 52c | 108.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Yes | 10c | 107.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 74c | 106.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 17c | 103.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 95.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Yes | 23c | 94.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed No | 51c | 93.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Yes | 21c | 80.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…28b6backed Yes | 20c | 76.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked No | 53c | 72.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 48c | 64.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked No | 80c | 61.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…b99abacked Yes | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 22c | 48.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 64c | 48.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Yes | 26c | 45.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 53c | 42.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 53c | 42.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 66c | 38.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 44c | 37.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 65c | 37.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 35c | 36.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 45c | 36.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 47c | 29.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…240cbacked Yes | 54c | 28.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…5c17backed Yes | 36c | 28.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…7211backed No | 78c | 27.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 52c | 27.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 51c | 26.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 65c | 26.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 80c | 21.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 58c | 18.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 76c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 65c | 15.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 80c | 15.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.