TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x088a…9ee7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT7255.6%40 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+252.4%+$152.86
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$81.74
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$30.68
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.76
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.53
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Libacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.73
Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$39.73
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.73
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$42.39
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.56
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.28
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.65
Madrid Open: Jaime Faria vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$32.06
Madrid Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$62.39
Madrid Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$74.97
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$58.39
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Madrid Open, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Set Handicap: Piros (-1.5) vs Barrios (+1.5)backed Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT5056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$47.37
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$38.73
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$59.37
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$66.99
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.3
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+54%+$117.13
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$104.92
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.71
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$70.91
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$48.71
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.84
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$105.79
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.11
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$84.4
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.55
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$30
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.02
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.33
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.31
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.16
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.34
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.18
EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$79.52
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.35
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$46.74
Barcelona SC vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$37.93
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$39.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.