Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldi

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34135487a3d73f99e4b45ec13ca7c9091d552c5aee91c1078b17f49d4e5f4402

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Dusan Lajovicof Dusan Lajovic, Matteo Arnaldi
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $209,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $248,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,077 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x31c1…7047backed Matteo Arnaldi	54c	8,769$4,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,769.85	798	55.9%446 W · 352 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Matteo Arnaldi	53c	8,205$4,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,373.93	488	51.6%252 W · 236 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe51a…c4a3backed Dusan Lajovic	53c	7,434$3,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,495.07	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.5wins	+0.25per pick	47cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Matteo Arnaldi	7c	6,359$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.3	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dusan Lajovic	49c	5,564$2,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,830.92	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Matteo Arnaldi	16c	3,227$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.31	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Matteo Arnaldi	19c	3,207$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.19	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Matteo Arnaldi	54c	2,935$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.28	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Matteo Arnaldi	48c	2,747$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.39	485	55.9%271 W · 214 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0179…adcdbacked Dusan Lajovic	66c	2,163$1,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.69	85	62.4%53 W · 32 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Matteo Arnaldi	48c	2,019$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.79	205	48.8%100 W · 105 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Dusan Lajovic	44c	2,000$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120	587	34.6%203 W · 384 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca76…ab35backed Matteo Arnaldi	1c	1,972$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Matteo Arnaldi	1c	1,962$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…67f0backed Matteo Arnaldi	25c	1,831$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.82	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Dusan Lajovic	54c	1,764$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Matteo Arnaldi	52c	1,616$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.3	1,110	43%477 W · 633 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Matteo Arnaldi	50c	1,463$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.19	975	40.1%391 W · 584 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Matteo Arnaldi	22c	1,451$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.98	1,487	47.5%706 W · 781 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…7ae4backed Matteo Arnaldi	65c	1,356$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.29	89	62.9%56 W · 33 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	69cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dusan Lajovic	52c	1,336$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.14	8,726	36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L	-187.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Dusan Lajovic	56c	1,214$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.74	6,596	50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L	+259.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Dusan Lajovic	45c	1,176$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.68	265	45.3%120 W · 145 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Dusan Lajovic	53c	1,146$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.75	2,523	39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Matteo Arnaldi	51c	1,139$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.54	1,678	50.8%852 W · 826 L	+30.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Dusan Lajovic	46c	1,100$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594	133	63.9%85 W · 48 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Dusan Lajovic	45c	1,100$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.99	977	45.2%442 W · 535 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Matteo Arnaldi	55c	1,072$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.74	328	51.8%170 W · 158 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Matteo Arnaldi	47c	1,034$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.15	1,020	49.9%509 W · 511 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Matteo Arnaldi	4c	951.76$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.49	6,685	36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L	-96.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0313…a2c7backed Dusan Lajovic	51c	820.1$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.85	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Matteo Arnaldi	45c	811.79$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.3	308	47.7%147 W · 161 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Dusan Lajovic	74c	783.13$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.57	5,288	56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L	+231.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Matteo Arnaldi	50c	775.43$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.17	4,875	41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L	-77.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Matteo Arnaldi	53c	761.47$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.2	524	60.9%319 W · 205 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Arnaldi	19c	757.71$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.8	4,647	49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L	+159.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Matteo Arnaldi	38c	754.29$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.89	104	53.8%56 W · 48 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Matteo Arnaldi	20c	750.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.91	921	45.2%416 W · 505 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Dusan Lajovic	55c	707.72$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.52	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-4.4wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Matteo Arnaldi	55c	663.41$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.88	435	47.4%206 W · 229 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Matteo Arnaldi	55c	540.61$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.34	2,056	59.5%1,224 W · 832 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Matteo Arnaldi	54c	540.22$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.72	1,920	55.4%1,064 W · 856 L	-44.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Matteo Arnaldi	45c	538.32$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.74	434	49.1%213 W · 221 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dusan Lajovic	53c	507.02$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.01	11,325	43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L	+18.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Matteo Arnaldi	2c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Matteo Arnaldi	52c	473.89$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.42	1,836	48.4%889 W · 947 L	-32.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6c…d56cbacked Matteo Arnaldi	51c	468.78$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.08	244	51.6%126 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Matteo Arnaldi	48c	455.32$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.29	2,144	54.2%1,162 W · 982 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Matteo Arnaldi	7c	444.31$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.21	1,444	38%548 W · 896 L	-46.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Matteo Arnaldi	44c	437.03$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.29	680	26.2%178 W · 502 L	-24.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7410…2a73backed Dusan Lajovic	54c	425.83$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.88	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Matteo Arnaldi	56c	417.26$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.66	1,615	50.6%817 W · 798 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Matteo Arnaldi	48c	404.18$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.83	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Matteo Arnaldi	44c	399.99$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.99	132	37.9%50 W · 82 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Dusan Lajovic	65c	380.54$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.95	361	41%148 W · 213 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Dusan Lajovic	57c	366.84$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.34	271	31.4%85 W · 186 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9644…02fcbacked Matteo Arnaldi	55c	326.34$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.49	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Matteo Arnaldi	53c	324.54$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.01	824	60.6%499 W · 325 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Matteo Arnaldi	4c	320$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	246	32.9%81 W · 165 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Matteo Arnaldi	53c	314.72$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.8	181	33.1%60 W · 121 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Dusan Lajovic	46c	314.14$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.97	847	36%305 W · 542 L	-35.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Matteo Arnaldi	34c	300$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	665	31.3%208 W · 457 L	-15.0wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…2521backed Dusan Lajovic	66c	298.06$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.17	17	88.2%15 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	75cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Matteo Arnaldi	50c	297.46$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.73	603	55.4%334 W · 269 L	+19.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Dusan Lajovic	46c	285.39$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.91	280	38.2%107 W · 173 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Matteo Arnaldi	14c	274.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Dusan Lajovic	53c	268.13$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.9	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d6b…dd2bbacked Dusan Lajovic	46c	263.13$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.09	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+164.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dusan Lajovic	51c	262.5$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.8	9,231	44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L	-241.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Matteo Arnaldi	45c	260$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.02	945	49.6%469 W · 476 L	-23.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Dusan Lajovic	76c	259.37$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.25	849	63.1%536 W · 313 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Dusan Lajovic	46c	249.93$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.96	369	37.9%140 W · 229 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Matteo Arnaldi	40c	243.08$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.38	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Matteo Arnaldi	53c	236.53$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.36	120	30%36 W · 84 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Dusan Lajovic	44c	235.27$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.82	3,631	54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L	+110.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Matteo Arnaldi	45c	233.73$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.54	398	45.5%181 W · 217 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Dusan Lajovic	56c	224.3$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.69	1,667	52.8%881 W · 786 L	+43.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Matteo Arnaldi	53c	217.68$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.37	101	55.4%56 W · 45 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Dusan Lajovic	45c	214.89$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.19	872	37.2%324 W · 548 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Dusan Lajovic	46c	213.84$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.47	1,588	47%746 W · 842 L	-24.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Dusan Lajovic	46c	212.84$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.72	341	36.4%124 W · 217 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Dusan Lajovic	46c	210.35$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.59	259	57.1%148 W · 111 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Matteo Arnaldi	50c	209.53$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.76	1,266	34.2%433 W · 833 L	-43.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dusan Lajovic	60c	200.46$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.9	2,754	53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L	+71.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61cd…1e02backed Matteo Arnaldi	49c	197.84$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.94	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Dusan Lajovic	56c	194.72$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.68	702	52.8%371 W · 331 L	-17.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa65…1021backed Matteo Arnaldi	50c	194$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	58cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Matteo Arnaldi	23c	187.03$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.63	1,354	43.9%595 W · 759 L	-62.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Matteo Arnaldi	52c	180.1$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.22	357	30.5%109 W · 248 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1d…ce4abacked Dusan Lajovic	54c	180.07$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.83	73	60.3%44 W · 29 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Matteo Arnaldi	53c	159.54$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.56	630	52.7%332 W · 298 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Dusan Lajovic	54c	159$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.14	127	39.4%50 W · 77 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Dusan Lajovic	56c	158.34$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.67	277	32.1%89 W · 188 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Matteo Arnaldi	48c	145.92$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.57	372	33.9%126 W · 246 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088a…9ee7backed Matteo Arnaldi	38c	145.48$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.86	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Dusan Lajovic	44c	140$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.4	341	54.3%185 W · 156 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Dusan Lajovic	44c	139.86$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.32	2,394	38.4%920 W · 1,474 L	+87.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Matteo Arnaldi	45c	139.68$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.86	669	38.9%260 W · 409 L	-31.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc794…d010backed Matteo Arnaldi	13c	136.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.15	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Matteo Arnaldi	49c	131.03$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.2	308	60.1%185 W · 123 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldithis page
Lajovic vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Lajovic vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Lajovic vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Lajovic vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldi

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event