TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf63a…90e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$226.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,024.71
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marin Cilic vs Martin Landalucebacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Beatrice Ricci vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.94
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Tom Gentzschbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+322.9%+$2,425.23
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Roman Safiullinbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.16
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,578.88
Saint-Malo: Yue Yuan vs Anna Blinkovabacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.84
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
La Bisbal: Rebeka Masarova vs Elena Pridankinabacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$7,952.31
Mauthausen: Sandro Kopp vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$988
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,344.17
La Bisbal: Aliona Bolsova vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$946.08
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.74
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$718.73
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.28
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.06
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$461
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.36
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.21
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.55
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$434.44
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$34.19
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$555.52
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.94
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$989
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$826
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,447.78
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$448.86
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$258.99
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$782.99
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.11
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.52
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$485
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$1,822.53
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.79
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$325.33
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.77
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$694.04
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.76
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$924.59
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,922.74
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+375.3%+$3,575.02
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.19
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$448.25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$735.53
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.75
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.95
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$126.31
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.05
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$194.75
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$1,029.79
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$1,132.39
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$196.62
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$70.43
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$399.77
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$650
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,998.21
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$1,132.84
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,987.16
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$980
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$301.84
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$398
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$455.3
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$573.24
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.1
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+65%+$277.41
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270.07
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.1
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$827.32
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$199.96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.33
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.88
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.47
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$134.31
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$95.87
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.54
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$167.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$819
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,361.36
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$860.72
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$677.78
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$85.55
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$113.81
Manchester City vs. Al Hilal: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$38.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+79.4%+$1,896.47
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,621Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.5%+$429.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.2%+$300.88
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$958.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$865
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$186.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Ave FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$137.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$44.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.