TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c19,339$7,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,274.491,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c11,803$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,779.451,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over59c11,750$6,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.52268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b39…eafbbacked Over64c6,999$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over27c4,732$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,459.958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over20c3,900$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.5559741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over55c2,725$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Under42c1,777$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+122.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under21c1,426$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over56c1,293$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.6846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Under45c1,169$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Under79c1,139$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick79cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over49c1,023$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.876633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c865$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9542438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under60c835.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over21c826.39$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.633426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under46c810.87$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37322054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fc…b59ebacked Over3c700$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over59c500.46$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.082669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under49c487.33$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2360136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under46c438.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over24c408.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.4412242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32014645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce0…5cb9backed Over67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29222647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over42c391.95$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3315250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under43c343.49$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.171752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under76c322.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4720644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over28c300.79$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.486852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under8c300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over24c279.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick76cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a71…49bcbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.881631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under75c220$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Under63c207$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.742630.8%8 W · 18 L-8.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-50.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked Over22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6715236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.672832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Under76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58bc…1fdbbacked Under8c149.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under54c122$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8715938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Over28c115.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.985455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over26c111$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1413931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Over22c104.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.172445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c100.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9733851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over22c95.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.523036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Under30c90.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.424450%22 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbf…6631backed Under27c89.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.454533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x654f…0724backed Over24c82.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07fa…74efbacked Over25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+107.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over58c79.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.348243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over49c69.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5211653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b89…3380backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under64c59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7620947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over44c55.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.728252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under32c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.49246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea15…523dbacked Under78c51.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303237.5%12 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Over75c48.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.366867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.083554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.624146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae4d…254ebacked Over45c42.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824065%26 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x927b…3735backed Over49c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick25cpaid+147.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6331…fe76backed Under64c32.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8c…2157backed Under36c28.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.521457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over39c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.864548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x180a…eebbbacked Over80c25.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Over61c25.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under77c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2538043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under76c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.243935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc06…0964backed Under63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Under78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over79c19.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over80c19.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.981457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.