Champions League · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b4a1647cd1c4baeab56943a90f20f4239ca3a78a8b2e1ad0d192b1f7e84bb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 70c | 5,492$3,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.62 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 2,978$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.69 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 70c | 2,144$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.2 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 70c | 890.56$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.27 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 30c | 785.3$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 72c | 535$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 75c | 532$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 28c | 412$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 27c | 355.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 26c | 326$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 31c | 249.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 19c | 182.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 69c | 148.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 132.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…304fbacked Under | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…cd9ebacked Under | 30c | 82.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Under | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 66.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…5459backed Over | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 56.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 73c | 29.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…00d1backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…aa18backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 24.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…35c5backed Over | 71c | 23.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 72c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.