TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7805…ead7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8263.4%52 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$146.47
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.31
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.67
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$7.86
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$5
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+32.6%+$13.03
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$16.71
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.34
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+73.1%+$36.56
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.61
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$27.58
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+30.6%+$9.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$55.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.