Champions League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c1b402062db0d925912292e38ab999aad6c5327f3003b118d1abf0da2c706e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,261 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 14,735$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.07 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 7,952$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.5 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 3,451$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 2,899$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.58 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 12c | 2,105$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 2,027$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.63 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Under | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 17c | 1,248$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 30c | 872.4$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 76c | 723.68$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 13c | 696.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 663.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 70c | 645.73$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…fda0backed Over | 80c | 558$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 80c | 492.56$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 20c | 467.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Under | 32c | 419$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 18c | 314$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 20c | 298.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…ebcebacked Under | 19c | 261.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 77c | 258.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 20c | 236.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 71c | 221$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 79c | 207$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 14c | 178.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 19c | 169.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…7a39backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 15c | 86.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 19c | 78.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 32c | 66.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Under | 25c | 42.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7a…fa0bbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…d522backed Over | 80c | 35.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…7196backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 38c | 27.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 80c | 27.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 24.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…7767backed Over | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 63c | 18.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 77c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…6735backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…2f80backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee18…fe34backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…2aafbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.