TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Club Atlético de Madridof Tottenham Hotspur FC, Club Atlético de Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,882 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham Hotspur FC9c31,845$2,818 inLost-$2,817.742,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC7c5,000$350 inLost-$35029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Tottenham Hotspur FC8c4,000$314 inLost-$314.029757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tottenham Hotspur FC3c1,519$44 inLost-$43.781,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC6c1,091$69 inLost-$6943537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC5c923.93$42 inLost-$41.9123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC8c800$64 inLost-$648241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a9…592dbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC8c730.76$58 inLost-$57.731233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC8c679.98$54 inLost-$54.42832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+215.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC8c476.83$40 inLost-$4020639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC8c367.33$30 inLost-$3010025%25 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Tottenham Hotspur FC8c321.13$27 inLost-$27.120643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b3…8807backed Tottenham Hotspur FC8c305.93$23 inLost-$23.35425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Tottenham Hotspur FC14c200$28 inLost-$282437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Tottenham Hotspur FC8c176.64$14 inLost-$13.589948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Tottenham Hotspur FC16c62.5$10 inLost-$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.