TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Tottenham Hotspur FCof Club Atlético de Madrid, Tottenham Hotspur FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,958 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid7c6,906$512 inLost-$511.9213245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Club Atlético de Madrid7c4,000$298 inLost-$297.89757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Club Atlético de Madrid8c2,434$183 inLost-$182.6429350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid7c1,030$72 inLost-$72.079840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Club Atlético de Madrid8c1,020$83 inLost-$82.775018%9 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid6c999.98$62 inLost-$628241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid8c658.23$52 inLost-$521118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-47%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b6…a62fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid8c635.17$50 inLost-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Club Atlético de Madrid7c579.47$43 inLost-$4320639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Club Atlético de Madrid7c504$35 inLost-$35.268043.8%35 W · 45 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+60.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid6c461.83$30 inLost-$303641.7%15 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+78.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid5c253.3$14 inLost-$13.8942438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid7c217.83$15 inLost-$152429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Club Atlético de Madrid7c217.04$15 inLost-$152030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Club Atlético de Madrid7c147.07$10 inLost-$10.041877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.