TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,696 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c26,360$19,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,569.581,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over14c10,342$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,894.138647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over33c9,800$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,565.998155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under74c8,099$6,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,032.921931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over30c8,000$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,607.312138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under1c4,188$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.622040%8 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c2,997$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.181,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under63c2,851$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8007737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Under72c2,500$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over19c2,471$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.426728.4%19 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under59c2,193$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.0134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc167…51b0backed Over19c1,947$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Over45c1,848$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.32650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under47c1,763$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.421040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over33c1,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.852128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c1,448$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1638253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under12c1,385$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Under1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over19c1,231$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.545018%9 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over21c1,190$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.482853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b8…87c1backed Under74c1,115$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over32c1,073$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.581942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1390%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Under76c945.91$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7587…3afebacked Under64c913.97$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.941844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over20c820$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.744866.7%32 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c766.22$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1342438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over39c762.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.323253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.724759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over20c750$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60013234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under67c746.84$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.952250%11 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over35c739.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.192646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over32c699.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over19c606.11$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.954729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1290%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Over10c599.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.031822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.432157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a9…592dbacked Under75c533.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102045%9 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under52c486.96$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.952536%9 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over52c464.62$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.451662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over30c441.23$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.862065%13 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Over35c438$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under55c430.2$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6112935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over46c430.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.168938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under14c423.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2460136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Over13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.625328.3%15 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.363336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over34c358.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3315038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under69c337.84$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1120042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under70c333$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.866844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24322647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.544033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Over34c294.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.092259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over18c294$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0813245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1620655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61b6…a62fbacked Over20c252.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.311936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under58c251.03$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over19c237.43$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.047861.5%48 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…236ebacked Over19c210.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.53837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd569…48c1backed Under71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick35cpaid-85.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over39c175.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e4…967bbacked Under58c173.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9194…2ee1backed Under60c169.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over18c166.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6721443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under74c159.56$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5520643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a5…b93abacked Over19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ce…286abacked Over38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.891070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over13c150.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.772123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.53531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under80c149$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.864259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.862360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+69%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Over18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.891450%7 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+79.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over11c136.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3620639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under68c128.9$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6c…a22bbacked Over16c125.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.434252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over20c122.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3227450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.957456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over28c120.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e7a…fa0bbacked Under75c120.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over53c118$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.116666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.111464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over43c104.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.651752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd354…ff2fbacked Under73c103.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752650%13 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42d9…bc6dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+78.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.