TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9759…cb52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+981.1%+$361.04
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.75
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+400.2%+$80.05
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT5328.3%15 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+467.2%+$445.63
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$463.92
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$250.89
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$51.1
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.08
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$128.02
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.85
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+381.5%+$286.11
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.43
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$88.89
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)backed Borussia Mönchengladbach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.47
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)backed RCD Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$300
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62.03
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.51
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.11
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$173.26
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.