TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf27a…c4fcbacked Over57c48,861$27,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,895.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c21,977$9,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,755.421,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c15,633$6,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,979.921,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under46c10,113$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,492.061952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under42c10,054$4,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,784.419159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over66c9,091$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.021136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under45c9,065$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,985.815354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c7,137$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,052.5821144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over56c5,487$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over60c4,685$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.92552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2404057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over55c3,800$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under59c3,751$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+156.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over55c3,284$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under47c3,181$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.92356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7105060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.976553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c2,531$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.1537638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over55c2,157$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.389747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over60c2,067$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2401921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over55c1,850$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0097529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over56c1,771$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over55c1,650$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under43c1,588$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over52c1,269$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over51c1,174$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.111747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over56c1,061$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5941154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over59c845.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over64c832.1$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5309657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over59c788$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.923759.5%22 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over55c720$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3961560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over59c716.81$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4254052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over66c678.51$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4487648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over55c636.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…2e8abacked Over55c592.73$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under42c582.09$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.514837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Under43c564.4$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c554.93$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2224052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over35c514.18$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over60c508.33$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Over59c491.53$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over37c467.34$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c450$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.53275%24 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91e…b045backed Under3c439.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.33333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick4cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2284744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23210545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b22…a210backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under46c386.96$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1659355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c300$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c290.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over60c290$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1749846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under44c276.75$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0811556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over56c273$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8312050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under45c270$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.517756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over45c270$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over60c260$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Under50c254$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1273100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9927049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over55c249.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under41c225$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7510948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c222.57$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e28…e5efbacked Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over65c192.29$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.994934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over54c191.82$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c188.09$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4520150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c186.93$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8345233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.69158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.68460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1ae…df3bbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf9…f6bcbacked Under56c173.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c167$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.88247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c163.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1312448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over55c163.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9417043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under44c159.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.595851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c157.58$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7411044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over56c154.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.172661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.